**Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, with light to moderate southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of showers that could slightly limit peak heating.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 55.5%, followed by 31°C (21.0%) and 33°C (18.5%). Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in late August typically features highs near 31–32°C under similar steering patterns, and recent model runs show stable conditions without strong subsidence or clear skies that would push readings higher. Current observations place recent daily maxima in the 30–33°C range amid light rain episodes, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Updated forecasts from agencies and numerical weather prediction centers will provide the next key inputs before resolution, with any shift toward clearer, calmer conditions potentially favoring 33°C or above.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
57%
33°C
18%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$115 Vol.
4%
31°C
$178 Vol.
21%
32°C
$934 Vol.
57%
33°C
$178 Vol.
18%
34°C
$80 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, with light to moderate southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of showers that could slightly limit peak heating.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 55.5%, followed by 31°C (21.0%) and 33°C (18.5%). Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in late August typically features highs near 31–32°C under similar steering patterns, and recent model runs show stable conditions without strong subsidence or clear skies that would push readings higher.
Current observations place recent daily maxima in the 30–33°C range amid light rain episodes, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Updated forecasts from agencies and numerical weather prediction centers will provide the next key inputs before resolution, with any shift toward clearer, calmer conditions potentially favoring 33°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,871End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, with light to moderate southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of showers that could slightly limit peak heating.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 55.5%, followed by 31°C (21.0%) and 33°C (18.5%). Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in late August typically features highs near 31–32°C under similar steering patterns, and recent model runs show stable conditions without strong subsidence or clear skies that would push readings higher.
Current observations place recent daily maxima in the 30–33°C range amid light rain episodes, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Updated forecasts from agencies and numerical weather prediction centers will provide the next key inputs before resolution, with any shift toward clearer, calmer conditions potentially favoring 33°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,871End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 30, 2026, with light to moderate southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and a modest chance of showers that could slightly limit peak heating.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 55.5%, followed by 31°C (21.0%) and 33°C (18.5%). Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate in late August typically features highs near 31–32°C under similar steering patterns, and recent model runs show stable conditions without strong subsidence or clear skies that would push readings higher. Current observations place recent daily maxima in the 30–33°C range amid light rain episodes, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Updated forecasts from agencies and numerical weather prediction centers will provide the next key inputs before resolution, with any shift toward clearer, calmer conditions potentially favoring 33°C or above.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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