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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?

Aug 28

Aug 29

Aug 30

Aug 28

Aug 29

Aug 30

31°C 36%

30°C 29%

29°C 19%

32°C 12%

Polymarket
NEW

31°C 36%

30°C 29%

29°C 19%

32°C 12%

Polymarket
NEW

26°C or below

$125 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$125 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$239 Vol.

6%

29°C

$0 Vol.

19%

30°C

$109 Vol.

29%

31°C

$0 Vol.

36%

32°C

$83 Vol.

12%

33°C

$25 Vol.

4%

34°C

$100 Vol.

3%

35°C

$38 Vol.

<1%

36°C or higher

$121 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**A broad trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast is the main factor capping trader expectations for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, yielding a projected range of 27–31°C and limiting solar heating relative to the clearer, hotter conditions expected on August 29. Seasonal context shows late-August averages near 31°C, while an emerging El Niño and background warming trend support the slight edge for 31°C in market odds; however, model consensus on increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and convective activity introduces genuine uncertainty around the 29–32°C cluster. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$964
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**A broad trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast is the main factor capping trader expectations for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, yielding a projected range of 27–31°C and limiting solar heating relative to the clearer, hotter conditions expected on August 29. Seasonal context shows late-August averages near 31°C, while an emerging El Niño and background warming trend support the slight edge for 31°C in market odds; however, model consensus on increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and convective activity introduces genuine uncertainty around the 29–32°C cluster. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$964
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31°C" at 36%, followed by "30°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?" is "31°C" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.