**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** High humidity levels (75–95%) and extensive cloud cover are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from falling much below the forecasted range of 27–31°C, while light southwest winds offer minimal mixing. The tight market split between 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much cooling occurs amid variable rainfall intensity and timing, as heavier showers could suppress temperatures slightly further or maintain warmth through latent heat release. Historical late-August norms around 26–28°C provide context, but current model consensus and real-time monitoring updates will be decisive for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
26°C 16%
25°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
45%
28°C
40%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
26°C 16%
25°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$214 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$700 Vol.
2%
25°C
$595 Vol.
5%
26°C
$620 Vol.
16%
27°C
$638 Vol.
45%
28°C
$1,036 Vol.
40%
29°C
$629 Vol.
1%
30°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** High humidity levels (75–95%) and extensive cloud cover are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from falling much below the forecasted range of 27–31°C, while light southwest winds offer minimal mixing. The tight market split between 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much cooling occurs amid variable rainfall intensity and timing, as heavier showers could suppress temperatures slightly further or maintain warmth through latent heat release. Historical late-August norms around 26–28°C provide context, but current model consensus and real-time monitoring updates will be decisive for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,368End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** High humidity levels (75–95%) and extensive cloud cover are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from falling much below the forecasted range of 27–31°C, while light southwest winds offer minimal mixing. The tight market split between 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much cooling occurs amid variable rainfall intensity and timing, as heavier showers could suppress temperatures slightly further or maintain warmth through latent heat release. Historical late-August norms around 26–28°C provide context, but current model consensus and real-time monitoring updates will be decisive for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,368End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** High humidity levels (75–95%) and extensive cloud cover are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from falling much below the forecasted range of 27–31°C, while light southwest winds offer minimal mixing. The tight market split between 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much cooling occurs amid variable rainfall intensity and timing, as heavier showers could suppress temperatures slightly further or maintain warmth through latent heat release. Historical late-August norms around 26–28°C provide context, but current model consensus and real-time monitoring updates will be decisive for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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