Current National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s °F on August 31, driven by persistent onshore flow and morning marine layer stratus that limits radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge and dew-point advection, with historical August 31 minima averaging near 65 °F and rarely dropping below 60 °F absent strong offshore winds. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, as small forecast revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could push readings across the closely matched 64–69 °F buckets versus cooler outliers. Final NWS point forecasts and updated model runs on August 30–31 will provide the key data ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
55°F or below 95%
74°F or higher 92%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
55°F or below
95%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
44%
60-61°F
47%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74°F or higher
92%
55°F or below 95%
74°F or higher 92%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
95%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
47%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
44%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
47%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
30%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
49%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s °F on August 31, driven by persistent onshore flow and morning marine layer stratus that limits radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge and dew-point advection, with historical August 31 minima averaging near 65 °F and rarely dropping below 60 °F absent strong offshore winds. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, as small forecast revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could push readings across the closely matched 64–69 °F buckets versus cooler outliers. Final NWS point forecasts and updated model runs on August 30–31 will provide the key data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s °F on August 31, driven by persistent onshore flow and morning marine layer stratus that limits radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge and dew-point advection, with historical August 31 minima averaging near 65 °F and rarely dropping below 60 °F absent strong offshore winds. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, as small forecast revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could push readings across the closely matched 64–69 °F buckets versus cooler outliers. Final NWS point forecasts and updated model runs on August 30–31 will provide the key data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s °F on August 31, driven by persistent onshore flow and morning marine layer stratus that limits radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge and dew-point advection, with historical August 31 minima averaging near 65 °F and rarely dropping below 60 °F absent strong offshore winds. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, as small forecast revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could push readings across the closely matched 64–69 °F buckets versus cooler outliers. Final NWS point forecasts and updated model runs on August 30–31 will provide the key data ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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