**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, reflecting near-real-time observational data and short-term forecast consensus.** Hong Kong Observatory measurements through the early morning showed temperatures stabilizing around 28.3–28.6°C under a broad low-pressure trough bringing showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity (85–95%) limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble models and climatological norms for late August in the region—typically featuring overnight lows near 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions—align with this outcome, as steering winds and cloud cover have prevented deeper drops. The market-implied odds capture traders' assessment of these stable conditions persisting through the night. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of onshore flow or clearer skies enabling greater nocturnal cooling, potentially pulling readings to the forecasted 27°C threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
28°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,219 Vol.
$22,219 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,219 Vol.
$22,219 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,058 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,500 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,943 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,023 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,270 Vol.
100%
29°C
$3,040 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, reflecting near-real-time observational data and short-term forecast consensus.** Hong Kong Observatory measurements through the early morning showed temperatures stabilizing around 28.3–28.6°C under a broad low-pressure trough bringing showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity (85–95%) limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble models and climatological norms for late August in the region—typically featuring overnight lows near 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions—align with this outcome, as steering winds and cloud cover have prevented deeper drops. The market-implied odds capture traders' assessment of these stable conditions persisting through the night. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of onshore flow or clearer skies enabling greater nocturnal cooling, potentially pulling readings to the forecasted 27°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$22,219End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, reflecting near-real-time observational data and short-term forecast consensus.** Hong Kong Observatory measurements through the early morning showed temperatures stabilizing around 28.3–28.6°C under a broad low-pressure trough bringing showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity (85–95%) limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble models and climatological norms for late August in the region—typically featuring overnight lows near 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions—align with this outcome, as steering winds and cloud cover have prevented deeper drops. The market-implied odds capture traders' assessment of these stable conditions persisting through the night. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of onshore flow or clearer skies enabling greater nocturnal cooling, potentially pulling readings to the forecasted 27°C threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,219End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 29, 2026, reflecting near-real-time observational data and short-term forecast consensus.** Hong Kong Observatory measurements through the early morning showed temperatures stabilizing around 28.3–28.6°C under a broad low-pressure trough bringing showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity (85–95%) limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble models and climatological norms for late August in the region—typically featuring overnight lows near 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions—align with this outcome, as steering winds and cloud cover have prevented deeper drops. The market-implied odds capture traders' assessment of these stable conditions persisting through the night. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of onshore flow or clearer skies enabling greater nocturnal cooling, potentially pulling readings to the forecasted 27°C threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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