**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in Denver on August 30 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, with storm chances adding variability.** Thunderstorm activity (30-50% probability) and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating and potentially enhance overnight cooling through reduced radiational warming or localized outflow boundaries. Denver’s high elevation (~5,280 ft) amplifies temperature sensitivity to these factors, while late-August climatology shows average lows near 55-58°F. Recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler than earlier runs due to a moist southwest flow and possible frontal influence, supporting the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability on 59°F or below. Higher bins (mid-60s and above) reflect residual uncertainty around storm timing and intensity, which could keep readings closer to 62-67°F if skies clear earlier. Updated NWS guidance and new model cycles over the next 48 hours will be key drivers for any shifts in these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
78°F or higher 57%
59°F or below 40%
72-73°F 38%
62-63°F 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
40%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
22%
78°F or higher
57%
78°F or higher 57%
59°F or below 40%
72-73°F 38%
62-63°F 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Vol.
40%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
31%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
29%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
38%
74-75°F
$5 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
22%
78°F or higher
$5 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in Denver on August 30 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, with storm chances adding variability.** Thunderstorm activity (30-50% probability) and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating and potentially enhance overnight cooling through reduced radiational warming or localized outflow boundaries.
Denver’s high elevation (~5,280 ft) amplifies temperature sensitivity to these factors, while late-August climatology shows average lows near 55-58°F. Recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler than earlier runs due to a moist southwest flow and possible frontal influence, supporting the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability on 59°F or below. Higher bins (mid-60s and above) reflect residual uncertainty around storm timing and intensity, which could keep readings closer to 62-67°F if skies clear earlier. Updated NWS guidance and new model cycles over the next 48 hours will be key drivers for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in Denver on August 30 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, with storm chances adding variability.** Thunderstorm activity (30-50% probability) and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating and potentially enhance overnight cooling through reduced radiational warming or localized outflow boundaries.
Denver’s high elevation (~5,280 ft) amplifies temperature sensitivity to these factors, while late-August climatology shows average lows near 55-58°F. Recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler than earlier runs due to a moist southwest flow and possible frontal influence, supporting the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability on 59°F or below. Higher bins (mid-60s and above) reflect residual uncertainty around storm timing and intensity, which could keep readings closer to 62-67°F if skies clear earlier. Updated NWS guidance and new model cycles over the next 48 hours will be key drivers for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in Denver on August 30 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, with storm chances adding variability.** Thunderstorm activity (30-50% probability) and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating and potentially enhance overnight cooling through reduced radiational warming or localized outflow boundaries. Denver’s high elevation (~5,280 ft) amplifies temperature sensitivity to these factors, while late-August climatology shows average lows near 55-58°F. Recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler than earlier runs due to a moist southwest flow and possible frontal influence, supporting the market’s leading 40.5% implied probability on 59°F or below. Higher bins (mid-60s and above) reflect residual uncertainty around storm timing and intensity, which could keep readings closer to 62-67°F if skies clear earlier. Updated NWS guidance and new model cycles over the next 48 hours will be key drivers for any shifts in these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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