Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicates a moderating trend for Ankara on August 28, with a northwest flow and increasing cloud cover limiting daytime heating after consecutive days near 32–33°C. Forecast highs cluster between 25–28°C, with 40% rain or thunderstorm chances in afternoon hours further suppressing peak temperatures. This positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. Historical late-August baselines average near 29°C, but the incoming disturbance has shifted trader focus toward the cooler end of the distribution ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
26°C 39%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
39%
27°C
25%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$64 Vol.
22%
26°C
$268 Vol.
39%
27°C
$97 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$16 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
9%
31°C
$5 Vol.
5%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicates a moderating trend for Ankara on August 28, with a northwest flow and increasing cloud cover limiting daytime heating after consecutive days near 32–33°C. Forecast highs cluster between 25–28°C, with 40% rain or thunderstorm chances in afternoon hours further suppressing peak temperatures. This positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. Historical late-August baselines average near 29°C, but the incoming disturbance has shifted trader focus toward the cooler end of the distribution ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$582End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicates a moderating trend for Ankara on August 28, with a northwest flow and increasing cloud cover limiting daytime heating after consecutive days near 32–33°C. Forecast highs cluster between 25–28°C, with 40% rain or thunderstorm chances in afternoon hours further suppressing peak temperatures. This positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. Historical late-August baselines average near 29°C, but the incoming disturbance has shifted trader focus toward the cooler end of the distribution ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$582End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicates a moderating trend for Ankara on August 28, with a northwest flow and increasing cloud cover limiting daytime heating after consecutive days near 32–33°C. Forecast highs cluster between 25–28°C, with 40% rain or thunderstorm chances in afternoon hours further suppressing peak temperatures. This positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 38.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. Historical late-August baselines average near 29°C, but the incoming disturbance has shifted trader focus toward the cooler end of the distribution ahead of final observational confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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