Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and residual moisture from ongoing thunderstorms and rain on August 31. Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and regional outlooks show suppressed heating under mostly cloudy skies with only slight rain chances, keeping maxima below the seasonal 32–33°C average. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short lead time, with higher outcomes requiring rapid clearing that current steering patterns and humidity do not support. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether modest warming or additional cloudiness shifts the final observed peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
31°C 22%
32°C 22%
30°C 21%
34°C 19%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
21%
31°C
22%
32°C
22%
33°C
14%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 22%
32°C 22%
30°C 21%
34°C 19%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
21%
31°C
22%
32°C
22%
33°C
14%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and residual moisture from ongoing thunderstorms and rain on August 31. Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and regional outlooks show suppressed heating under mostly cloudy skies with only slight rain chances, keeping maxima below the seasonal 32–33°C average. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short lead time, with higher outcomes requiring rapid clearing that current steering patterns and humidity do not support. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether modest warming or additional cloudiness shifts the final observed peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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