**Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and showers expected around September 2 are keeping forecast overnight lows clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s°F, driving the evenly matched 50% market-implied odds across temperature bins.** High dew points near 70°F limit radiative cooling under overcast skies, while light southeast winds and 60-70% storm chances advect additional moisture, preventing sharp drops typical of clearer nights. Ensemble models show modest spread due to timing uncertainties in any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, with climatological September averages around 65°F serving as a lower baseline that current conditions are exceeding. New National Weather Service or NOAA updates on steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 24-48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on September 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 2?
63°F or below 100%
64-65°F 100%
66-67°F 100%
68-69°F 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
63°F or below
100%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
100%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
100%
82°F or higher
100%
63°F or below 100%
64-65°F 100%
66-67°F 100%
68-69°F 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
63°F or below
$0 Vol.
100%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
100%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
100%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
100%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
100%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
100%
82°F or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and showers expected around September 2 are keeping forecast overnight lows clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s°F, driving the evenly matched 50% market-implied odds across temperature bins.**
High dew points near 70°F limit radiative cooling under overcast skies, while light southeast winds and 60-70% storm chances advect additional moisture, preventing sharp drops typical of clearer nights. Ensemble models show modest spread due to timing uncertainties in any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, with climatological September averages around 65°F serving as a lower baseline that current conditions are exceeding. New National Weather Service or NOAA updates on steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 24-48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and showers expected around September 2 are keeping forecast overnight lows clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s°F, driving the evenly matched 50% market-implied odds across temperature bins.**
High dew points near 70°F limit radiative cooling under overcast skies, while light southeast winds and 60-70% storm chances advect additional moisture, preventing sharp drops typical of clearer nights. Ensemble models show modest spread due to timing uncertainties in any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, with climatological September averages around 65°F serving as a lower baseline that current conditions are exceeding. New National Weather Service or NOAA updates on steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 24-48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and showers expected around September 2 are keeping forecast overnight lows clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s°F, driving the evenly matched 50% market-implied odds across temperature bins.** High dew points near 70°F limit radiative cooling under overcast skies, while light southeast winds and 60-70% storm chances advect additional moisture, preventing sharp drops typical of clearer nights. Ensemble models show modest spread due to timing uncertainties in any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, with climatological September averages around 65°F serving as a lower baseline that current conditions are exceeding. New National Weather Service or NOAA updates on steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 24-48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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