Recent model consensus from Chinese and international forecasts points to a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Qingdao on September 2 under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly flow. This positioning reflects the influence of a building subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar insolation, while the adjacent Yellow Sea moderates extremes through sea-breeze effects. Early September climatology averages 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal with limited precipitation risk. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes against potential revisions in the next ECMWF or CMA model cycles, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 2?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 2?
29°C 35%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
19%
29°C
35%
30°C
26%
31°C
14%
32°C
13%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
35%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Chinese and international forecasts points to a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Qingdao on September 2 under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly flow. This positioning reflects the influence of a building subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar insolation, while the adjacent Yellow Sea moderates extremes through sea-breeze effects. Early September climatology averages 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal with limited precipitation risk. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes against potential revisions in the next ECMWF or CMA model cycles, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$15End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Chinese and international forecasts points to a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Qingdao on September 2 under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly flow. This positioning reflects the influence of a building subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar insolation, while the adjacent Yellow Sea moderates extremes through sea-breeze effects. Early September climatology averages 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal with limited precipitation risk. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes against potential revisions in the next ECMWF or CMA model cycles, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Chinese and international forecasts points to a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Qingdao on September 2 under mostly clear skies and moderate northerly flow. This positioning reflects the influence of a building subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar insolation, while the adjacent Yellow Sea moderates extremes through sea-breeze effects. Early September climatology averages 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal with limited precipitation risk. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes against potential revisions in the next ECMWF or CMA model cycles, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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