**Current forecasts for Denver on September 2, 2026, point to overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under building high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs near 88°F.** This aligns closely with the long-term average low of 54.5°F while recent years show notable variability (e.g., 46–67°F). The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% across bins reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model outputs, particularly regarding radiational cooling efficiency overnight. Key differentiating factors include sky cover (clear conditions enhance cooling via longwave radiation loss), near-surface wind speeds (calm winds allow stronger temperature drops), and dew-point depressions that control how quickly the boundary layer cools. Minor shifts in these variables over the next 48 hours—driven by subtle changes in the subtropical ridge or moisture return—could easily move the realized minimum by several degrees, keeping trader consensus balanced until final observations from official stations like Denver International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 2?
53°F or below 100%
54-55°F 100%
56-57°F 100%
58-59°F 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
53°F or below
100%
54-55°F
100%
56-57°F
100%
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
100%
62-63°F
100%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
100%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
100%
72°F or higher
100%
53°F or below 100%
54-55°F 100%
56-57°F 100%
58-59°F 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
53°F or below
$0 Vol.
100%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
100%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
100%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
100%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
100%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
100%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
100%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
100%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
100%
72°F or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Denver on September 2, 2026, point to overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under building high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs near 88°F.** This aligns closely with the long-term average low of 54.5°F while recent years show notable variability (e.g., 46–67°F).
The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% across bins reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model outputs, particularly regarding radiational cooling efficiency overnight. Key differentiating factors include sky cover (clear conditions enhance cooling via longwave radiation loss), near-surface wind speeds (calm winds allow stronger temperature drops), and dew-point depressions that control how quickly the boundary layer cools. Minor shifts in these variables over the next 48 hours—driven by subtle changes in the subtropical ridge or moisture return—could easily move the realized minimum by several degrees, keeping trader consensus balanced until final observations from official stations like Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Denver on September 2, 2026, point to overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under building high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs near 88°F.** This aligns closely with the long-term average low of 54.5°F while recent years show notable variability (e.g., 46–67°F).
The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% across bins reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model outputs, particularly regarding radiational cooling efficiency overnight. Key differentiating factors include sky cover (clear conditions enhance cooling via longwave radiation loss), near-surface wind speeds (calm winds allow stronger temperature drops), and dew-point depressions that control how quickly the boundary layer cools. Minor shifts in these variables over the next 48 hours—driven by subtle changes in the subtropical ridge or moisture return—could easily move the realized minimum by several degrees, keeping trader consensus balanced until final observations from official stations like Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Denver on September 2, 2026, point to overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s under building high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs near 88°F.** This aligns closely with the long-term average low of 54.5°F while recent years show notable variability (e.g., 46–67°F). The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 50% across bins reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model outputs, particularly regarding radiational cooling efficiency overnight. Key differentiating factors include sky cover (clear conditions enhance cooling via longwave radiation loss), near-surface wind speeds (calm winds allow stronger temperature drops), and dew-point depressions that control how quickly the boundary layer cools. Minor shifts in these variables over the next 48 hours—driven by subtle changes in the subtropical ridge or moisture return—could easily move the realized minimum by several degrees, keeping trader consensus balanced until final observations from official stations like Denver International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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