Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a modest cooldown for Dallas on September 2 as an upper ridge shifts eastward, allowing slightly stronger southeast flow and a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This has produced forecast highs clustered in the mid-90s, with most runs showing 93–97 °F under partly cloudy skies and heat indices near 105 °F. Persistent late-August drought and low soil moisture continue to support strong daytime warming, yet the modest increase in boundary-layer moisture and possible cloud cover introduce enough variability to keep the three leading bins—94–95 °F, 96–97 °F, and 92–93 °F—nearly even in trader pricing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Labor Day weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 2?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 2?
94-95°F 33%
96-97°F 32%
92-93°F 28%
88-89°F 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
87°F or below
7%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
4%
106°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 33%
96-97°F 32%
92-93°F 28%
88-89°F 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
87°F or below
$21 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$21 Vol.
16%
90-91°F
$128 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
28%
94-95°F
$12 Vol.
34%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
32%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
7%
100-101°F
$20 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$35 Vol.
4%
106°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a modest cooldown for Dallas on September 2 as an upper ridge shifts eastward, allowing slightly stronger southeast flow and a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This has produced forecast highs clustered in the mid-90s, with most runs showing 93–97 °F under partly cloudy skies and heat indices near 105 °F. Persistent late-August drought and low soil moisture continue to support strong daytime warming, yet the modest increase in boundary-layer moisture and possible cloud cover introduce enough variability to keep the three leading bins—94–95 °F, 96–97 °F, and 92–93 °F—nearly even in trader pricing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Labor Day weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$243End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a modest cooldown for Dallas on September 2 as an upper ridge shifts eastward, allowing slightly stronger southeast flow and a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This has produced forecast highs clustered in the mid-90s, with most runs showing 93–97 °F under partly cloudy skies and heat indices near 105 °F. Persistent late-August drought and low soil moisture continue to support strong daytime warming, yet the modest increase in boundary-layer moisture and possible cloud cover introduce enough variability to keep the three leading bins—94–95 °F, 96–97 °F, and 92–93 °F—nearly even in trader pricing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Labor Day weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$243End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a modest cooldown for Dallas on September 2 as an upper ridge shifts eastward, allowing slightly stronger southeast flow and a 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This has produced forecast highs clustered in the mid-90s, with most runs showing 93–97 °F under partly cloudy skies and heat indices near 105 °F. Persistent late-August drought and low soil moisture continue to support strong daytime warming, yet the modest increase in boundary-layer moisture and possible cloud cover introduce enough variability to keep the three leading bins—94–95 °F, 96–97 °F, and 92–93 °F—nearly even in trader pricing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Labor Day weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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