Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 30–32°C in Milan on August 31 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that favor daytime heating without significant mixing or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in trader sentiment as the most probable outcomes. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with typical August maxima near 28–30°C and limited variability absent frontal systems or advection changes. Updated short-range guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 31?
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
32°C 11%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
32°C 11%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$9 Vol.
10%
30°C
$14 Vol.
36%
31°C
$77 Vol.
37%
32°C
$18 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 30–32°C in Milan on August 31 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that favor daytime heating without significant mixing or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in trader sentiment as the most probable outcomes. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with typical August maxima near 28–30°C and limited variability absent frontal systems or advection changes. Updated short-range guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$128End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 30–32°C in Milan on August 31 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that favor daytime heating without significant mixing or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in trader sentiment as the most probable outcomes. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with typical August maxima near 28–30°C and limited variability absent frontal systems or advection changes. Updated short-range guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$128End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 30–32°C in Milan on August 31 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that favor daytime heating without significant mixing or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show minor spread due to subtle differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in trader sentiment as the most probable outcomes. Late-summer climatology supports these values, with typical August maxima near 28–30°C and limited variability absent frontal systems or advection changes. Updated short-range guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions