**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a highest temperature on September 3 most likely in the 29–31°C range, shaped by the ongoing rainy season.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), high humidity (often 80–90%), and widespread afternoon convection with showers and thunderstorms are limiting daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and reducing incoming solar radiation. Official and model guidance, including Met Office and other sources, consistently point to highs near 30°C amid light showers, with limited intensification potential due to these thermodynamic constraints. This positions 31–32°C as leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on typical early-September conditions where peaks rarely exceed the low 30s despite the tropical baseline. Historical averages hover around 29–30°C, and the current setup shows no strong signals for drier, clearer conditions that would allow 33°C or higher. Key upcoming factors include the next GFS/ECMWF model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture transport that could alter cloud and precipitation trends before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 3?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 3?
32°C 40%
31°C 28%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
40%
33°C or higher
25%
32°C 40%
31°C 28%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$52 Vol.
1%
28°C
$65 Vol.
2%
29°C
$190 Vol.
4%
30°C
$109 Vol.
8%
31°C
$15 Vol.
28%
32°C
$108 Vol.
40%
33°C or higher
$223 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a highest temperature on September 3 most likely in the 29–31°C range, shaped by the ongoing rainy season.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), high humidity (often 80–90%), and widespread afternoon convection with showers and thunderstorms are limiting daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and reducing incoming solar radiation. Official and model guidance, including Met Office and other sources, consistently point to highs near 30°C amid light showers, with limited intensification potential due to these thermodynamic constraints.
This positions 31–32°C as leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on typical early-September conditions where peaks rarely exceed the low 30s despite the tropical baseline. Historical averages hover around 29–30°C, and the current setup shows no strong signals for drier, clearer conditions that would allow 33°C or higher. Key upcoming factors include the next GFS/ECMWF model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture transport that could alter cloud and precipitation trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,193End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a highest temperature on September 3 most likely in the 29–31°C range, shaped by the ongoing rainy season.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), high humidity (often 80–90%), and widespread afternoon convection with showers and thunderstorms are limiting daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and reducing incoming solar radiation. Official and model guidance, including Met Office and other sources, consistently point to highs near 30°C amid light showers, with limited intensification potential due to these thermodynamic constraints.
This positions 31–32°C as leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on typical early-September conditions where peaks rarely exceed the low 30s despite the tropical baseline. Historical averages hover around 29–30°C, and the current setup shows no strong signals for drier, clearer conditions that would allow 33°C or higher. Key upcoming factors include the next GFS/ECMWF model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture transport that could alter cloud and precipitation trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,193End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a highest temperature on September 3 most likely in the 29–31°C range, shaped by the ongoing rainy season.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), high humidity (often 80–90%), and widespread afternoon convection with showers and thunderstorms are limiting daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and reducing incoming solar radiation. Official and model guidance, including Met Office and other sources, consistently point to highs near 30°C amid light showers, with limited intensification potential due to these thermodynamic constraints. This positions 31–32°C as leading market outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on typical early-September conditions where peaks rarely exceed the low 30s despite the tropical baseline. Historical averages hover around 29–30°C, and the current setup shows no strong signals for drier, clearer conditions that would allow 33°C or higher. Key upcoming factors include the next GFS/ECMWF model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture transport that could alter cloud and precipitation trends before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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