An incoming early-September Pacific storm system, with its associated southerly flow, increased cloud cover, and widespread rain, is the main driver pushing Seattle's September 3 minimum temperature expectations into the low-to-mid 50s°F range. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple models shows lows of 51–56°F amid showers and gusty winds that limit overnight radiative cooling while advecting cooler marine air. Historical early-September averages near 57°F provide context, but the active pattern—marked by 0.5–0.75 inches of rain and possible thunderstorms—introduces forecast spread between modest cooling from the storm and any faster clearing that could allow slightly lower readings. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow band of outcomes, with closely matched probabilities for 52–55°F versus cooler scenarios tied to model differences in storm timing and intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 3?
54-55°F 37%
45°F or below 33%
52-53°F 32%
50-51°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
45°F or below
33%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
25%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
37%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
15%
64°F or higher
14%
54-55°F 37%
45°F or below 33%
52-53°F 32%
50-51°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
45°F or below
$0 Vol.
33%
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
8%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
9%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
25%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
32%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
37%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
15%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
9%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
15%
62-63°F
$10 Vol.
15%
64°F or higher
$10 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An incoming early-September Pacific storm system, with its associated southerly flow, increased cloud cover, and widespread rain, is the main driver pushing Seattle's September 3 minimum temperature expectations into the low-to-mid 50s°F range. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple models shows lows of 51–56°F amid showers and gusty winds that limit overnight radiative cooling while advecting cooler marine air. Historical early-September averages near 57°F provide context, but the active pattern—marked by 0.5–0.75 inches of rain and possible thunderstorms—introduces forecast spread between modest cooling from the storm and any faster clearing that could allow slightly lower readings. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow band of outcomes, with closely matched probabilities for 52–55°F versus cooler scenarios tied to model differences in storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An incoming early-September Pacific storm system, with its associated southerly flow, increased cloud cover, and widespread rain, is the main driver pushing Seattle's September 3 minimum temperature expectations into the low-to-mid 50s°F range. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple models shows lows of 51–56°F amid showers and gusty winds that limit overnight radiative cooling while advecting cooler marine air. Historical early-September averages near 57°F provide context, but the active pattern—marked by 0.5–0.75 inches of rain and possible thunderstorms—introduces forecast spread between modest cooling from the storm and any faster clearing that could allow slightly lower readings. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow band of outcomes, with closely matched probabilities for 52–55°F versus cooler scenarios tied to model differences in storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...An incoming early-September Pacific storm system, with its associated southerly flow, increased cloud cover, and widespread rain, is the main driver pushing Seattle's September 3 minimum temperature expectations into the low-to-mid 50s°F range. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple models shows lows of 51–56°F amid showers and gusty winds that limit overnight radiative cooling while advecting cooler marine air. Historical early-September averages near 57°F provide context, but the active pattern—marked by 0.5–0.75 inches of rain and possible thunderstorms—introduces forecast spread between modest cooling from the storm and any faster clearing that could allow slightly lower readings. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow band of outcomes, with closely matched probabilities for 52–55°F versus cooler scenarios tied to model differences in storm timing and intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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