Recent forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological agency indicate a maximum of 35°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 3 amid haze and isolated showers, while international models cluster around 32–34°C due to expected cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits daytime heating. In this equatorial climate, typical early-September highs hover near 32°C, with humidity and precipitation often capping peaks below official outlooks. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 53.5% implied probability reflects this balance of official guidance against model consensus on convective cooling, with modest odds on 34°C acknowledging potential for brief clear spells. Updated model runs and METMalaysia briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 3?
33°C 54%
34°C 35%
35°C 5%
32°C 4%
$14,842 Vol.
$14,842 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
54%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
34°C 35%
35°C 5%
32°C 4%
$14,842 Vol.
$14,842 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
54%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological agency indicate a maximum of 35°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 3 amid haze and isolated showers, while international models cluster around 32–34°C due to expected cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits daytime heating. In this equatorial climate, typical early-September highs hover near 32°C, with humidity and precipitation often capping peaks below official outlooks. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 53.5% implied probability reflects this balance of official guidance against model consensus on convective cooling, with modest odds on 34°C acknowledging potential for brief clear spells. Updated model runs and METMalaysia briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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