Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a highest temperature near 30°C in Manila on September 3, driven by the southwest monsoon with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. These conditions typically suppress daytime maxima by several degrees compared to clearer periods, while light to moderate southwest winds maintain consistent moisture. Trader consensus on 30°C and 31°C reflects model agreement on this range amid typical early-September climatology of 29-31°C highs, with divergence possible from any late timing shifts in rainfall or brief clearing that could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Updated PAGASA outlooks and morning model runs remain key near-term inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on September 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 3?
30°C 35%
31°C 30%
32°C 17%
29°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
35%
31°C
30%
32°C
17%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 30%
32°C 17%
29°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$7 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5 Vol.
10%
29°C
$21 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
35%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$30 Vol.
17%
33°C
$30 Vol.
11%
34°C
$175 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a highest temperature near 30°C in Manila on September 3, driven by the southwest monsoon with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. These conditions typically suppress daytime maxima by several degrees compared to clearer periods, while light to moderate southwest winds maintain consistent moisture. Trader consensus on 30°C and 31°C reflects model agreement on this range amid typical early-September climatology of 29-31°C highs, with divergence possible from any late timing shifts in rainfall or brief clearing that could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Updated PAGASA outlooks and morning model runs remain key near-term inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$380End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a highest temperature near 30°C in Manila on September 3, driven by the southwest monsoon with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. These conditions typically suppress daytime maxima by several degrees compared to clearer periods, while light to moderate southwest winds maintain consistent moisture. Trader consensus on 30°C and 31°C reflects model agreement on this range amid typical early-September climatology of 29-31°C highs, with divergence possible from any late timing shifts in rainfall or brief clearing that could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Updated PAGASA outlooks and morning model runs remain key near-term inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$380End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a highest temperature near 30°C in Manila on September 3, driven by the southwest monsoon with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. These conditions typically suppress daytime maxima by several degrees compared to clearer periods, while light to moderate southwest winds maintain consistent moisture. Trader consensus on 30°C and 31°C reflects model agreement on this range amid typical early-September climatology of 29-31°C highs, with divergence possible from any late timing shifts in rainfall or brief clearing that could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Updated PAGASA outlooks and morning model runs remain key near-term inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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