**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Dallas on September 3, 2026, clusters tightly around 76–81°F because official forecasts from the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and local models converge on overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s.** Persistent late-summer heat and high humidity limit radiational cooling, with southerly to southeasterly winds (5–15 mph) advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight on the 2nd–3rd, yielding projected minima of 77–79°F at DFW/Love Field stations. This places the 78–79°F bin (38.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 80–81°F (34.5%) and 76–77°F (26%), reflecting minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major shift in the synoptic pattern. Historical September 3 averages (around 74°F) are exceeded due to the ongoing heat wave, but no strong cold front or significant precipitation is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 3?
78-79°F 54%
80-81°F 33%
76-77°F 27%
70-71°F 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
69°F or below
15%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F or higher
16%
78-79°F 54%
80-81°F 33%
76-77°F 27%
70-71°F 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
69°F or below
$10 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$68 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$24 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
8%
88°F or higher
$10 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Dallas on September 3, 2026, clusters tightly around 76–81°F because official forecasts from the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and local models converge on overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s.**
Persistent late-summer heat and high humidity limit radiational cooling, with southerly to southeasterly winds (5–15 mph) advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight on the 2nd–3rd, yielding projected minima of 77–79°F at DFW/Love Field stations.
This places the 78–79°F bin (38.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 80–81°F (34.5%) and 76–77°F (26%), reflecting minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major shift in the synoptic pattern. Historical September 3 averages (around 74°F) are exceeded due to the ongoing heat wave, but no strong cold front or significant precipitation is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$132End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Dallas on September 3, 2026, clusters tightly around 76–81°F because official forecasts from the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and local models converge on overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s.**
Persistent late-summer heat and high humidity limit radiational cooling, with southerly to southeasterly winds (5–15 mph) advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight on the 2nd–3rd, yielding projected minima of 77–79°F at DFW/Love Field stations.
This places the 78–79°F bin (38.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 80–81°F (34.5%) and 76–77°F (26%), reflecting minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major shift in the synoptic pattern. Historical September 3 averages (around 74°F) are exceeded due to the ongoing heat wave, but no strong cold front or significant precipitation is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Dallas on September 3, 2026, clusters tightly around 76–81°F because official forecasts from the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and local models converge on overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s.** Persistent late-summer heat and high humidity limit radiational cooling, with southerly to southeasterly winds (5–15 mph) advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf. Recent model runs show mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight on the 2nd–3rd, yielding projected minima of 77–79°F at DFW/Love Field stations. This places the 78–79°F bin (38.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 80–81°F (34.5%) and 76–77°F (26%), reflecting minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major shift in the synoptic pattern. Historical September 3 averages (around 74°F) are exceeded due to the ongoing heat wave, but no strong cold front or significant precipitation is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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