**Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Houston on September 3, 2026, in the upper 70s°F (roughly 77–80°F), consistent with late-summer patterns.** High humidity, southeasterly winds, and possible afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum elevated above the long-term average of 75°F for that date. No significant cold fronts or atypical atmospheric shifts are projected in the next 48 hours, supporting market-implied odds that cluster around 78–81°F ranges. Trader consensus appears to price in the influence of ongoing warm, moist air masses typical for early September in the region, where dew points often remain high and prevent sharper drops. Upcoming National Weather Service or NHC updates could refine these probabilities if model runs shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 3?
78-79°F 50%
80-81°F 50%
90°F or higher 44%
74-75°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
71°F or below
15%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
19%
90°F or higher
44%
78-79°F 50%
80-81°F 50%
90°F or higher 44%
74-75°F 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
71°F or below
$20 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$10 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$16 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$28 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
18%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
20%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
19%
90°F or higher
$10 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Houston on September 3, 2026, in the upper 70s°F (roughly 77–80°F), consistent with late-summer patterns.**
High humidity, southeasterly winds, and possible afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum elevated above the long-term average of 75°F for that date. No significant cold fronts or atypical atmospheric shifts are projected in the next 48 hours, supporting market-implied odds that cluster around 78–81°F ranges.
Trader consensus appears to price in the influence of ongoing warm, moist air masses typical for early September in the region, where dew points often remain high and prevent sharper drops. Upcoming National Weather Service or NHC updates could refine these probabilities if model runs shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$144End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Houston on September 3, 2026, in the upper 70s°F (roughly 77–80°F), consistent with late-summer patterns.**
High humidity, southeasterly winds, and possible afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum elevated above the long-term average of 75°F for that date. No significant cold fronts or atypical atmospheric shifts are projected in the next 48 hours, supporting market-implied odds that cluster around 78–81°F ranges.
Trader consensus appears to price in the influence of ongoing warm, moist air masses typical for early September in the region, where dew points often remain high and prevent sharper drops. Upcoming National Weather Service or NHC updates could refine these probabilities if model runs shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Houston on September 3, 2026, in the upper 70s°F (roughly 77–80°F), consistent with late-summer patterns.** High humidity, southeasterly winds, and possible afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum elevated above the long-term average of 75°F for that date. No significant cold fronts or atypical atmospheric shifts are projected in the next 48 hours, supporting market-implied odds that cluster around 78–81°F ranges. Trader consensus appears to price in the influence of ongoing warm, moist air masses typical for early September in the region, where dew points often remain high and prevent sharper drops. Upcoming National Weather Service or NHC updates could refine these probabilities if model runs shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions