**Trader consensus favors a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on September 6, with 28°C holding the highest implied probability at 45%.** Singapore’s equatorial location and prevailing southwest monsoon sustain warm, humid nights, keeping overnight lows typically above 26°C. Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models project minimums of 27–28°C under mostly dry, occasionally hazy conditions driven by regional biomass burning. Light southeasterly winds and limited cloud cover overnight support modest radiative cooling without significant drops. Historical September baselines and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or heavy rain events reinforce this range, while probabilities for extremes below 23°C or above 30°C remain low given the stable atmospheric pattern. Short-term model runs show little divergence through the weekend.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on September 6?
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C or below
69%
23°C
44%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
36%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
69%
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C or below
69%
23°C
44%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
36%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus favors a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on September 6, with 28°C holding the highest implied probability at 45%.** Singapore’s equatorial location and prevailing southwest monsoon sustain warm, humid nights, keeping overnight lows typically above 26°C. Current forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models project minimums of 27–28°C under mostly dry, occasionally hazy conditions driven by regional biomass burning. Light southeasterly winds and limited cloud cover overnight support modest radiative cooling without significant drops. Historical September baselines and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or heavy rain events reinforce this range, while probabilities for extremes below 23°C or above 30°C remain low given the stable atmospheric pattern. Short-term model runs show little divergence through the weekend.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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