Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Singapore's September 5 nighttime minimum will likely settle near 27°C under typical equatorial conditions, with southeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 80%, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. This keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered, as small shifts in predicted dew points or wind patterns can alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages show nighttime lows around 25°C, but current stable atmospheric setup and urban heat retention favor values near 27–28°C over cooler extremes. Updated local NEA guidance and next GFS/ECMWF runs will clarify any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on September 5?
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 67%
24°C 44%
28°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
69%
23°C
19%
24°C
44%
25°C
24%
26°C
28%
27°C
31%
28°C
37%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
67%
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 67%
24°C 44%
28°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Singapore's September 5 nighttime minimum will likely settle near 27°C under typical equatorial conditions, with southeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 80%, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. This keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered, as small shifts in predicted dew points or wind patterns can alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages show nighttime lows around 25°C, but current stable atmospheric setup and urban heat retention favor values near 27–28°C over cooler extremes. Updated local NEA guidance and next GFS/ECMWF runs will clarify any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Singapore's September 5 nighttime minimum will likely settle near 27°C under typical equatorial conditions, with southeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 80%, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. This keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered, as small shifts in predicted dew points or wind patterns can alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages show nighttime lows around 25°C, but current stable atmospheric setup and urban heat retention favor values near 27–28°C over cooler extremes. Updated local NEA guidance and next GFS/ECMWF runs will clarify any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Singapore's September 5 nighttime minimum will likely settle near 27°C under typical equatorial conditions, with southeast monsoon flow, high humidity near 80%, and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. This keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered, as small shifts in predicted dew points or wind patterns can alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages show nighttime lows around 25°C, but current stable atmospheric setup and urban heat retention favor values near 27–28°C over cooler extremes. Updated local NEA guidance and next GFS/ECMWF runs will clarify any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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