Forecast consensus for Qingdao on September 3 points to a sunny day with northerly winds of 3–6 m/s under stable high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. Most numerical guidance clusters in this range, consistent with early-September climatology when coastal moderation and clear skies often produce highs several degrees above the 26 °C monthly mean. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the observed market clustering around 29–32 °C, while probabilities for 33 °C or higher remain low absent stronger subsidence or reduced sea-breeze influence. Updated runs from regional models and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
29°C 24%
32°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
29°C 24%
32°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$101 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus for Qingdao on September 3 points to a sunny day with northerly winds of 3–6 m/s under stable high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. Most numerical guidance clusters in this range, consistent with early-September climatology when coastal moderation and clear skies often produce highs several degrees above the 26 °C monthly mean. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the observed market clustering around 29–32 °C, while probabilities for 33 °C or higher remain low absent stronger subsidence or reduced sea-breeze influence. Updated runs from regional models and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$160End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus for Qingdao on September 3 points to a sunny day with northerly winds of 3–6 m/s under stable high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. Most numerical guidance clusters in this range, consistent with early-September climatology when coastal moderation and clear skies often produce highs several degrees above the 26 °C monthly mean. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the observed market clustering around 29–32 °C, while probabilities for 33 °C or higher remain low absent stronger subsidence or reduced sea-breeze influence. Updated runs from regional models and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$160End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus for Qingdao on September 3 points to a sunny day with northerly winds of 3–6 m/s under stable high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. Most numerical guidance clusters in this range, consistent with early-September climatology when coastal moderation and clear skies often produce highs several degrees above the 26 °C monthly mean. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the observed market clustering around 29–32 °C, while probabilities for 33 °C or higher remain low absent stronger subsidence or reduced sea-breeze influence. Updated runs from regional models and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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