**Trader consensus centers on 31°C as the most probable high for Karachi on September 3, reflecting ensemble forecast agreement around 30–32°C amid typical late-monsoon conditions.** Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models (including GFS-derived runs) shows hot, humid coastal weather with partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 15–20 mph, and minimal precipitation risk, which moderates daytime maxima near historical September averages of 30–31°C. Recent observations place current highs at 30–31°C, with no strong signals for intensification or cooling advection that would shift outcomes toward 33°C or above. Uncertainties remain around exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by 1°C or allow a brief push to 32°C depending on the final model runs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
31°C 50%
32°C 24%
30°C 21%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
21%
31°C
50%
32°C
24%
33°C
8%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 24%
30°C 21%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
6%
29°C
$7 Vol.
10%
30°C
$6 Vol.
21%
31°C
$61 Vol.
50%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$10 Vol.
8%
34°C
$20 Vol.
6%
35°C
$116 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31°C as the most probable high for Karachi on September 3, reflecting ensemble forecast agreement around 30–32°C amid typical late-monsoon conditions.**
Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models (including GFS-derived runs) shows hot, humid coastal weather with partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 15–20 mph, and minimal precipitation risk, which moderates daytime maxima near historical September averages of 30–31°C. Recent observations place current highs at 30–31°C, with no strong signals for intensification or cooling advection that would shift outcomes toward 33°C or above. Uncertainties remain around exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by 1°C or allow a brief push to 32°C depending on the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$455End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31°C as the most probable high for Karachi on September 3, reflecting ensemble forecast agreement around 30–32°C amid typical late-monsoon conditions.**
Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models (including GFS-derived runs) shows hot, humid coastal weather with partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 15–20 mph, and minimal precipitation risk, which moderates daytime maxima near historical September averages of 30–31°C. Recent observations place current highs at 30–31°C, with no strong signals for intensification or cooling advection that would shift outcomes toward 33°C or above. Uncertainties remain around exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by 1°C or allow a brief push to 32°C depending on the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$455End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 31°C as the most probable high for Karachi on September 3, reflecting ensemble forecast agreement around 30–32°C amid typical late-monsoon conditions.** Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models (including GFS-derived runs) shows hot, humid coastal weather with partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 15–20 mph, and minimal precipitation risk, which moderates daytime maxima near historical September averages of 30–31°C. Recent observations place current highs at 30–31°C, with no strong signals for intensification or cooling advection that would shift outcomes toward 33°C or above. Uncertainties remain around exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by 1°C or allow a brief push to 32°C depending on the final model runs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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