Recent forecasts for Karachi point to nighttime lows near 25–27°C on September 3 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and high humidity near 70–90%. Persistent weak monsoon conditions linked to El Niño have limited cooling, with sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and reduced radiative heat loss under cloud cover keeping overnight minima elevated compared with drier periods. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by wind shifts and any brief showers, yet historical September averages (roughly 26–31°C) and current guidance cluster probabilities around the mid-20s. The balanced market odds on extremes versus the middle range reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could allow either slightly stronger cooling or retained warmth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
69%
22°C
$5 Vol.
20%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$46 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
20%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Karachi point to nighttime lows near 25–27°C on September 3 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and high humidity near 70–90%. Persistent weak monsoon conditions linked to El Niño have limited cooling, with sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and reduced radiative heat loss under cloud cover keeping overnight minima elevated compared with drier periods. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by wind shifts and any brief showers, yet historical September averages (roughly 26–31°C) and current guidance cluster probabilities around the mid-20s. The balanced market odds on extremes versus the middle range reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could allow either slightly stronger cooling or retained warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$76End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Karachi point to nighttime lows near 25–27°C on September 3 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and high humidity near 70–90%. Persistent weak monsoon conditions linked to El Niño have limited cooling, with sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and reduced radiative heat loss under cloud cover keeping overnight minima elevated compared with drier periods. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by wind shifts and any brief showers, yet historical September averages (roughly 26–31°C) and current guidance cluster probabilities around the mid-20s. The balanced market odds on extremes versus the middle range reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could allow either slightly stronger cooling or retained warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Karachi point to nighttime lows near 25–27°C on September 3 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 10–15 mph, and high humidity near 70–90%. Persistent weak monsoon conditions linked to El Niño have limited cooling, with sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and reduced radiative heat loss under cloud cover keeping overnight minima elevated compared with drier periods. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by wind shifts and any brief showers, yet historical September averages (roughly 26–31°C) and current guidance cluster probabilities around the mid-20s. The balanced market odds on extremes versus the middle range reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could allow either slightly stronger cooling or retained warmth.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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