Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 3 indicate a transition from lingering cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by subtropical high periphery and residual tropical cyclone effects—to partial clearing, with official model runs projecting daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C. Variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing create the primary uncertainty in surface heating and maximum temperature, as reduced insolation from lingering moisture could cap peaks near 27–28°C while faster clearing supports 30°C or slightly higher. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima near 29°C, and the closely matched market odds on 28–30°C reflect this narrow range of outcomes amid divergent model guidance on exact clearing timing ahead of the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
28°C 39%
27°C 20%
29°C 19%
30°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
23%
29°C
19%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 39%
27°C 20%
29°C 19%
30°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$81 Vol.
1%
24°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$115 Vol.
2%
26°C
$32 Vol.
5%
27°C
$25 Vol.
11%
28°C
$11 Vol.
23%
29°C
$8 Vol.
19%
30°C
$3 Vol.
16%
31°C
$19 Vol.
6%
32°C
$33 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$27 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 3 indicate a transition from lingering cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by subtropical high periphery and residual tropical cyclone effects—to partial clearing, with official model runs projecting daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C. Variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing create the primary uncertainty in surface heating and maximum temperature, as reduced insolation from lingering moisture could cap peaks near 27–28°C while faster clearing supports 30°C or slightly higher. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima near 29°C, and the closely matched market odds on 28–30°C reflect this narrow range of outcomes amid divergent model guidance on exact clearing timing ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$546End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 3 indicate a transition from lingering cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by subtropical high periphery and residual tropical cyclone effects—to partial clearing, with official model runs projecting daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C. Variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing create the primary uncertainty in surface heating and maximum temperature, as reduced insolation from lingering moisture could cap peaks near 27–28°C while faster clearing supports 30°C or slightly higher. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima near 29°C, and the closely matched market odds on 28–30°C reflect this narrow range of outcomes amid divergent model guidance on exact clearing timing ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$546End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 3 indicate a transition from lingering cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by subtropical high periphery and residual tropical cyclone effects—to partial clearing, with official model runs projecting daytime highs clustered around 28–30°C. Variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing create the primary uncertainty in surface heating and maximum temperature, as reduced insolation from lingering moisture could cap peaks near 27–28°C while faster clearing supports 30°C or slightly higher. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima near 29°C, and the closely matched market odds on 28–30°C reflect this narrow range of outcomes amid divergent model guidance on exact clearing timing ahead of the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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