Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project a Seoul daytime high of 25-26°C on April 24 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating, with morning observations already surpassing 21°C amid an unseasonal spring heatwave 6-8°C above the April climatological average of 18°C. This observational data and model consensus—showing minimal spread across ECMWF and GFS ensembles—have locked trader sentiment at unanimous implied probability for 21°C or higher, reflecting urban heat amplification in the Seoul basin. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or a sudden frontal boundary, though KMA hourly updates indicate low risk as the peak window nears. Final resolution awaits official KMA Seoul station daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 24?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$219,562 Vol.
$219,562 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$219,562 Vol.
$219,562 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
11°C or below
$7,122 Vol.
No
12°C
$4,797 Vol.
No
13°C
$10,790 Vol.
No
14°C
$11,338 Vol.
No
15°C
$14,250 Vol.
No
16°C
$16,488 Vol.
No
17°C
$22,471 Vol.
No
18°C
$37,719 Vol.
No
19°C
$21,278 Vol.
No
20°C
$34,858 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$38,453 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project a Seoul daytime high of 25-26°C on April 24 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating, with morning observations already surpassing 21°C amid an unseasonal spring heatwave 6-8°C above the April climatological average of 18°C. This observational data and model consensus—showing minimal spread across ECMWF and GFS ensembles—have locked trader sentiment at unanimous implied probability for 21°C or higher, reflecting urban heat amplification in the Seoul basin. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or a sudden frontal boundary, though KMA hourly updates indicate low risk as the peak window nears. Final resolution awaits official KMA Seoul station daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$219,562End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project a Seoul daytime high of 25-26°C on April 24 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating, with morning observations already surpassing 21°C amid an unseasonal spring heatwave 6-8°C above the April climatological average of 18°C. This observational data and model consensus—showing minimal spread across ECMWF and GFS ensembles—have locked trader sentiment at unanimous implied probability for 21°C or higher, reflecting urban heat amplification in the Seoul basin. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or a sudden frontal boundary, though KMA hourly updates indicate low risk as the peak window nears. Final resolution awaits official KMA Seoul station daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$219,562End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project a Seoul daytime high of 25-26°C on April 24 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating, with morning observations already surpassing 21°C amid an unseasonal spring heatwave 6-8°C above the April climatological average of 18°C. This observational data and model consensus—showing minimal spread across ECMWF and GFS ensembles—have locked trader sentiment at unanimous implied probability for 21°C or higher, reflecting urban heat amplification in the Seoul basin. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or a sudden frontal boundary, though KMA hourly updates indicate low risk as the peak window nears. Final resolution awaits official KMA Seoul station daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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