**Trader consensus at 100% for a 27°C high on June 13 reflects the latest short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting model runs converging on that exact daytime peak for central Seoul.** Current conditions feature stable early-summer patterns with moderate humidity, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping temperatures from deviating significantly. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 27°C as the maximum, consistent with observed trends and climatological baselines for mid-June in the region. This skin-in-the-game pricing captures high-confidence model agreement and the absence of disruptive synoptic features. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute observational revisions from official stations, unexpected localized convective activity, or rapid shifts in boundary-layer conditions not captured in prior cycles—scenarios that remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution and forecast consistency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 13?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$333,593 Vol.
$333,593 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$333,593 Vol.
$333,593 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 27°C high on June 13 reflects the latest short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting model runs converging on that exact daytime peak for central Seoul.** Current conditions feature stable early-summer patterns with moderate humidity, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping temperatures from deviating significantly. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 27°C as the maximum, consistent with observed trends and climatological baselines for mid-June in the region. This skin-in-the-game pricing captures high-confidence model agreement and the absence of disruptive synoptic features. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute observational revisions from official stations, unexpected localized convective activity, or rapid shifts in boundary-layer conditions not captured in prior cycles—scenarios that remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution and forecast consistency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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