Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm today's maximum temperature peaked at 29°C around midday, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, showers, and thunderstorms, as warned by local meteorological authorities including the China Meteorological Administration, suppressed solar insolation and prevented further warming despite late-April climatological norms of 27–28°C highs in the subtropical region. Evening readings near 26°C further solidify this positioning. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst or preliminary data revision upon final audit, appear improbable given the day's convective activity and declining temperatures. Watch for Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's end-of-day summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 28?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 28?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$70,950 Vol.
$70,950 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$70,950 Vol.
$70,950 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
22°C or below
$3,802 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,724 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,481 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,925 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,709 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,391 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,634 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,673 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$10,107 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,558 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$5,945 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm today's maximum temperature peaked at 29°C around midday, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, showers, and thunderstorms, as warned by local meteorological authorities including the China Meteorological Administration, suppressed solar insolation and prevented further warming despite late-April climatological norms of 27–28°C highs in the subtropical region. Evening readings near 26°C further solidify this positioning. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst or preliminary data revision upon final audit, appear improbable given the day's convective activity and declining temperatures. Watch for Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's end-of-day summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$70,950End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm today's maximum temperature peaked at 29°C around midday, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, showers, and thunderstorms, as warned by local meteorological authorities including the China Meteorological Administration, suppressed solar insolation and prevented further warming despite late-April climatological norms of 27–28°C highs in the subtropical region. Evening readings near 26°C further solidify this positioning. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst or preliminary data revision upon final audit, appear improbable given the day's convective activity and declining temperatures. Watch for Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's end-of-day summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,950End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm today's maximum temperature peaked at 29°C around midday, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, showers, and thunderstorms, as warned by local meteorological authorities including the China Meteorological Administration, suppressed solar insolation and prevented further warming despite late-April climatological norms of 27–28°C highs in the subtropical region. Evening readings near 26°C further solidify this positioning. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst or preliminary data revision upon final audit, appear improbable given the day's convective activity and declining temperatures. Watch for Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's end-of-day summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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