Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicate a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, promoting clearer skies, light southerly winds, and surface warming that supports afternoon highs of 32°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 22. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where seasonal averages reach 29–32°C under stable high pressure and minimal rainfall. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C or above reflects tight model agreement on these conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in steering patterns could still cap temperatures near 31°C, though such revisions appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 22?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,044 Vol.
$51,044 Vol.
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,044 Vol.
$51,044 Vol.
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
$772 Vol.
No
23°C
$972 Vol.
No
24°C
$585 Vol.
No
25°C
$712 Vol.
No
26°C
$944 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,597 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,408 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,699 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,187 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,372 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$15,797 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicate a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, promoting clearer skies, light southerly winds, and surface warming that supports afternoon highs of 32°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 22. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where seasonal averages reach 29–32°C under stable high pressure and minimal rainfall. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C or above reflects tight model agreement on these conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in steering patterns could still cap temperatures near 31°C, though such revisions appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$51,044End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicate a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, promoting clearer skies, light southerly winds, and surface warming that supports afternoon highs of 32°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 22. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where seasonal averages reach 29–32°C under stable high pressure and minimal rainfall. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C or above reflects tight model agreement on these conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in steering patterns could still cap temperatures near 31°C, though such revisions appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,044End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicate a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, promoting clearer skies, light southerly winds, and surface warming that supports afternoon highs of 32°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 22. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where seasonal averages reach 29–32°C under stable high pressure and minimal rainfall. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C or above reflects tight model agreement on these conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in steering patterns could still cap temperatures near 31°C, though such revisions appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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