Central Weather Administration's latest forecast caps Taipei's high at 30°C on April 21 under partly clear skies and light easterly winds, with Songshan Airport station observations confirming midday peaks at exactly 30°C amid 70-80% humidity that curbs additional warming. Reduced cloud cover in updated model runs shifted expectations from 29°C, aligning trader consensus—backed by real capital—at near-certainty for this outcome, consistent with April climatology where averages hover 25-26°C but warm spells enable 30°C maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine or weakened sea breezes pushing 31°C+, though evening cooling and low-level shear make this improbable; final daily report from CWA expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 21?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 21?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,704 Vol.
$70,704 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,704 Vol.
$70,704 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
21°C or below
$1,109 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,570 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,659 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,328 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,129 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,153 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,486 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,230 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,834 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,360 Vol.
Yes
31°C or higher
$9,846 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's latest forecast caps Taipei's high at 30°C on April 21 under partly clear skies and light easterly winds, with Songshan Airport station observations confirming midday peaks at exactly 30°C amid 70-80% humidity that curbs additional warming. Reduced cloud cover in updated model runs shifted expectations from 29°C, aligning trader consensus—backed by real capital—at near-certainty for this outcome, consistent with April climatology where averages hover 25-26°C but warm spells enable 30°C maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine or weakened sea breezes pushing 31°C+, though evening cooling and low-level shear make this improbable; final daily report from CWA expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$70,704End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's latest forecast caps Taipei's high at 30°C on April 21 under partly clear skies and light easterly winds, with Songshan Airport station observations confirming midday peaks at exactly 30°C amid 70-80% humidity that curbs additional warming. Reduced cloud cover in updated model runs shifted expectations from 29°C, aligning trader consensus—backed by real capital—at near-certainty for this outcome, consistent with April climatology where averages hover 25-26°C but warm spells enable 30°C maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine or weakened sea breezes pushing 31°C+, though evening cooling and low-level shear make this improbable; final daily report from CWA expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,704End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Central Weather Administration's latest forecast caps Taipei's high at 30°C on April 21 under partly clear skies and light easterly winds, with Songshan Airport station observations confirming midday peaks at exactly 30°C amid 70-80% humidity that curbs additional warming. Reduced cloud cover in updated model runs shifted expectations from 29°C, aligning trader consensus—backed by real capital—at near-certainty for this outcome, consistent with April climatology where averages hover 25-26°C but warm spells enable 30°C maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine or weakened sea breezes pushing 31°C+, though evening cooling and low-level shear make this improbable; final daily report from CWA expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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