Recent short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models show Taipei highs clustering around 34–36°C for July 5 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with moderate afternoon thunderstorm chances that can suppress peak readings through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. High humidity and urban heat-island effects raise apparent temperatures above official air readings, while steering patterns and localized sea-breeze influences introduce day-to-day variability in maximum values. Historical July climatology centers near 33°C, so trader sentiment remains balanced across the narrow 34–36°C band pending the next model runs and any rapid changes in convective timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on July 5?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$96,222 Vol.
$96,222 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$96,222 Vol.
$96,222 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models show Taipei highs clustering around 34–36°C for July 5 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with moderate afternoon thunderstorm chances that can suppress peak readings through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. High humidity and urban heat-island effects raise apparent temperatures above official air readings, while steering patterns and localized sea-breeze influences introduce day-to-day variability in maximum values. Historical July climatology centers near 33°C, so trader sentiment remains balanced across the narrow 34–36°C band pending the next model runs and any rapid changes in convective timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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