Traders have converged on a 30°C high for Taipei on June 15 because official observations and forecast guidance place the daily maximum squarely at this threshold amid typical early-summer conditions. Mid-June climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs of 30–32°C driven by subtropical ridge influence, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that allows strong diurnal heating. Current model consensus from agencies tracking the region aligns with this seasonal baseline, with afternoon temperatures climbing through the upper 20s before peaking near 30°C. Minor convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher before the observation window closes, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable atmospheric setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$54,860 Vol.
$54,860 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$54,860 Vol.
$54,860 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
$346 Vol.
No
22°C
$250 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,252 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,042 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,184 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,131 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,649 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,956 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,671 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,473 Vol.
Yes
31°C or higher
$9,905 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 30°C high for Taipei on June 15 because official observations and forecast guidance place the daily maximum squarely at this threshold amid typical early-summer conditions. Mid-June climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs of 30–32°C driven by subtropical ridge influence, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that allows strong diurnal heating. Current model consensus from agencies tracking the region aligns with this seasonal baseline, with afternoon temperatures climbing through the upper 20s before peaking near 30°C. Minor convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher before the observation window closes, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$54,860End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 30°C high for Taipei on June 15 because official observations and forecast guidance place the daily maximum squarely at this threshold amid typical early-summer conditions. Mid-June climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs of 30–32°C driven by subtropical ridge influence, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that allows strong diurnal heating. Current model consensus from agencies tracking the region aligns with this seasonal baseline, with afternoon temperatures climbing through the upper 20s before peaking near 30°C. Minor convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher before the observation window closes, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,860End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on a 30°C high for Taipei on June 15 because official observations and forecast guidance place the daily maximum squarely at this threshold amid typical early-summer conditions. Mid-June climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs of 30–32°C driven by subtropical ridge influence, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that allows strong diurnal heating. Current model consensus from agencies tracking the region aligns with this seasonal baseline, with afternoon temperatures climbing through the upper 20s before peaking near 30°C. Minor convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher before the observation window closes, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable atmospheric setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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