Forecast models from agencies including Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate partly cloudy skies and highs near 37°C (98°F) for Taipei on June 22, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 34–36°C. Subtropical summer conditions—strong solar insolation, elevated humidity that limits evaporative cooling, and the urban heat island effect—favor afternoon maxima in this range, consistent with recent seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures following a wet early June. Recent May records exceeding 38°C and the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal systems in short-range guidance further differentiate 35–36°C as the most probable outcomes, while lower odds on 38°C+ reflect the narrow window for extreme intensification before typical afternoon convection develops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 22?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 22?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$80,303 Vol.
$80,303 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$80,303 Vol.
$80,303 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
28°C or below
$451 Vol.
No
29°C
$300 Vol.
No
30°C
$429 Vol.
No
31°C
$638 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,568 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,892 Vol.
No
34°C
$16,773 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,390 Vol.
No
36°C
$9,455 Vol.
No
37°C
$18,517 Vol.
Yes
38°C or higher
$19,889 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate partly cloudy skies and highs near 37°C (98°F) for Taipei on June 22, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 34–36°C. Subtropical summer conditions—strong solar insolation, elevated humidity that limits evaporative cooling, and the urban heat island effect—favor afternoon maxima in this range, consistent with recent seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures following a wet early June. Recent May records exceeding 38°C and the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal systems in short-range guidance further differentiate 35–36°C as the most probable outcomes, while lower odds on 38°C+ reflect the narrow window for extreme intensification before typical afternoon convection develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$80,303End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate partly cloudy skies and highs near 37°C (98°F) for Taipei on June 22, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 34–36°C. Subtropical summer conditions—strong solar insolation, elevated humidity that limits evaporative cooling, and the urban heat island effect—favor afternoon maxima in this range, consistent with recent seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures following a wet early June. Recent May records exceeding 38°C and the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal systems in short-range guidance further differentiate 35–36°C as the most probable outcomes, while lower odds on 38°C+ reflect the narrow window for extreme intensification before typical afternoon convection develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,303End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from agencies including Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate partly cloudy skies and highs near 37°C (98°F) for Taipei on June 22, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 34–36°C. Subtropical summer conditions—strong solar insolation, elevated humidity that limits evaporative cooling, and the urban heat island effect—favor afternoon maxima in this range, consistent with recent seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures following a wet early June. Recent May records exceeding 38°C and the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal systems in short-range guidance further differentiate 35–36°C as the most probable outcomes, while lower odds on 38°C+ reflect the narrow window for extreme intensification before typical afternoon convection develops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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