Forecast models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a modest cooling influence from expected cloud cover and scattered showers on June 25, keeping maximum temperatures in Taipei near seasonal norms of 31–33°C rather than pushing toward higher extremes. High humidity levels typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, combined with variable wind patterns and potential afternoon convection, limit daytime heating despite ample solar radiation in late June. Recent observational trends show no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would support 35°C-plus readings, while historical baselines for the period average around 32°C. Trader positioning clusters tightly around these values because model ensembles remain consistent on precipitation timing and intensity through the short-term forecast window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 25?
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$117,015 Vol.
$117,015 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$117,015 Vol.
$117,015 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a modest cooling influence from expected cloud cover and scattered showers on June 25, keeping maximum temperatures in Taipei near seasonal norms of 31–33°C rather than pushing toward higher extremes. High humidity levels typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, combined with variable wind patterns and potential afternoon convection, limit daytime heating despite ample solar radiation in late June. Recent observational trends show no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would support 35°C-plus readings, while historical baselines for the period average around 32°C. Trader positioning clusters tightly around these values because model ensembles remain consistent on precipitation timing and intensity through the short-term forecast window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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