Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 37°C in Taipei on June 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest monsoon flow, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with peak early-summer heating patterns, where radiative warming and limited cloud cover allow surface temperatures to reach seasonal highs near or above the 33–36°C climatological range for early June. Traders view the consensus as robust given consistent model support, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon convection, increased humidity suppressing the peak, or minor revisions in observational data from local stations. New forecast updates or real-time surface measurements remain the key variables that could alter positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 3?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$124,447 Vol.
$124,447 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$124,447 Vol.
$124,447 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
28°C or below
$443 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,794 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,371 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,616 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,964 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,394 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,899 Vol.
No
35°C
$8,423 Vol.
No
36°C
$50,198 Vol.
No
37°C
$20,033 Vol.
Yes
38°C or higher
$11,311 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 37°C in Taipei on June 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest monsoon flow, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with peak early-summer heating patterns, where radiative warming and limited cloud cover allow surface temperatures to reach seasonal highs near or above the 33–36°C climatological range for early June. Traders view the consensus as robust given consistent model support, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon convection, increased humidity suppressing the peak, or minor revisions in observational data from local stations. New forecast updates or real-time surface measurements remain the key variables that could alter positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$124,447End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 37°C in Taipei on June 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest monsoon flow, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with peak early-summer heating patterns, where radiative warming and limited cloud cover allow surface temperatures to reach seasonal highs near or above the 33–36°C climatological range for early June. Traders view the consensus as robust given consistent model support, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon convection, increased humidity suppressing the peak, or minor revisions in observational data from local stations. New forecast updates or real-time surface measurements remain the key variables that could alter positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$124,447End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 37°C in Taipei on June 3 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest monsoon flow, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with peak early-summer heating patterns, where radiative warming and limited cloud cover allow surface temperatures to reach seasonal highs near or above the 33–36°C climatological range for early June. Traders view the consensus as robust given consistent model support, though realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon convection, increased humidity suppressing the peak, or minor revisions in observational data from local stations. New forecast updates or real-time surface measurements remain the key variables that could alter positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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