Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 3?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,723 Vol.
$72,723 Vol.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,723 Vol.
$72,723 Vol.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
$3,243 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,442 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,767 Vol.
No
30°C
$12,723 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,206 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$6,275 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,955 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,666 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,651 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,618 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$4,178 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$72,723End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,723End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) intraday observations at Taipei Songshan Airport Station show midday temperatures peaking near 31°C under overcast skies and high humidity, which have limited solar heating and aligned with ensemble forecast models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 31°C. This meteorological consensus, reflecting typical May climatology for Taipei with average highs around 29°C amid seasonal moisture from the East Asian monsoon, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C as trader sentiment. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing for late-afternoon convective heating—unlikely given current steering patterns and descending air—but final CWA daily readings after sunset could confirm or adjust the official high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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