Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 4?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$338,042 Vol.
$338,042 Vol.
May 4, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$338,042 Vol.
$338,042 Vol.
May 4, 2026
17°C or below
$498 Vol.
No
18°C
$747 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,046 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,566 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,131 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,543 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,365 Vol.
No
24°C
$199,953 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$74,664 Vol.
No
26°C
$17,239 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$17,289 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$338,042End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$338,042End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm a daytime peak temperature of 24°C on May 4, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid over $200,000 in volume. Persistent cloud cover and occasional showers, as forecasted by CWA models, limited solar heating and capped highs below typical May averages of 28°C, with hourly readings peaking mid-afternoon before cooling under partly cloudy skies. While measurement revisions are possible but rare for settled daily maxima, an unexpected upward adjustment from late data or station recalibration could challenge this positioning, though current evidence strongly supports closure at 24°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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