**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 20?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,426 Vol.
$39,426 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,426 Vol.
$39,426 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
26°C or below
$653 Vol.
No
27°C
$548 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,896 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,864 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,968 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$5,959 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,864 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,538 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,591 Vol.
No
35°C
$361 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$185 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$39,426End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,426End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 20 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow.** This pattern favors modest daytime warming along the coastal plain, where the Mediterranean Sea breeze typically caps peaks near seasonal norms of 28–31 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31 °C (cumulative ~84 % implied probability) while assigning lower odds to outliers below 28 °C or above 32 °C. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and Israel Meteorological Service updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind strength that could shift the exact daily high by 1 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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