Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to stable early-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with Tel Aviv’s June 26 maximum most likely falling in the 29–30 °C range. Coastal sea breezes and moderate subtropical high pressure are expected to cap daytime heating near the long-term June average of roughly 30 °C, while limited cloud cover and light winds keep upside risk contained. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, which explains why the 30 °C bucket holds the largest share of trader probability and why outcomes above 32 °C or below 28 °C trade at single-digit levels. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether any slight warming or additional marine-layer cooling shifts these implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 26?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$53,609 Vol.
$53,609 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$53,609 Vol.
$53,609 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
26°C or below
$776 Vol.
No
27°C
$636 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,453 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,859 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$20,695 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,955 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,307 Vol.
No
33°C
$820 Vol.
No
34°C
$685 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,993 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$429 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to stable early-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with Tel Aviv’s June 26 maximum most likely falling in the 29–30 °C range. Coastal sea breezes and moderate subtropical high pressure are expected to cap daytime heating near the long-term June average of roughly 30 °C, while limited cloud cover and light winds keep upside risk contained. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, which explains why the 30 °C bucket holds the largest share of trader probability and why outcomes above 32 °C or below 28 °C trade at single-digit levels. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether any slight warming or additional marine-layer cooling shifts these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$53,609End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to stable early-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with Tel Aviv’s June 26 maximum most likely falling in the 29–30 °C range. Coastal sea breezes and moderate subtropical high pressure are expected to cap daytime heating near the long-term June average of roughly 30 °C, while limited cloud cover and light winds keep upside risk contained. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, which explains why the 30 °C bucket holds the largest share of trader probability and why outcomes above 32 °C or below 28 °C trade at single-digit levels. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether any slight warming or additional marine-layer cooling shifts these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,609End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to stable early-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with Tel Aviv’s June 26 maximum most likely falling in the 29–30 °C range. Coastal sea breezes and moderate subtropical high pressure are expected to cap daytime heating near the long-term June average of roughly 30 °C, while limited cloud cover and light winds keep upside risk contained. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, which explains why the 30 °C bucket holds the largest share of trader probability and why outcomes above 32 °C or below 28 °C trade at single-digit levels. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether any slight warming or additional marine-layer cooling shifts these implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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