Environment and Climate Change Canada's early morning forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 6°C on April 2 amid becoming cloudy skies, showers starting late morning, and easterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, anchoring trader consensus at 47% implied probability for 6°C or higher while pricing 5°C at 28.5%. This positioning reflects model guidance after yesterday's anomalous 26°C peak on April 1, as a cool onshore flow and persistent cloud cover—hallmarks of early spring variability—suppress temperatures below seasonal averages near 10°C. Mid-afternoon observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport register just 2°C with light drizzle, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer conditions. Resolution awaits official daily maximum from Pearson data, with hourly updates potentially shifting odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
6°C or higher 49%
5°C 28%
4°C 13.0%
3°C 2.6%
$103,801 Vol.
$103,801 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
2°C
<1%
3°C
3%
4°C
13%
5°C
28%
6°C or higher
49%
6°C or higher 49%
5°C 28%
4°C 13.0%
3°C 2.6%
$103,801 Vol.
$103,801 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
2°C
$24,988 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$16,461 Vol.
3%
4°C
$9,250 Vol.
13%
5°C
$4,520 Vol.
28%
6°C or higher
$12,753 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada's early morning forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 6°C on April 2 amid becoming cloudy skies, showers starting late morning, and easterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, anchoring trader consensus at 47% implied probability for 6°C or higher while pricing 5°C at 28.5%. This positioning reflects model guidance after yesterday's anomalous 26°C peak on April 1, as a cool onshore flow and persistent cloud cover—hallmarks of early spring variability—suppress temperatures below seasonal averages near 10°C. Mid-afternoon observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport register just 2°C with light drizzle, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer conditions. Resolution awaits official daily maximum from Pearson data, with hourly updates potentially shifting odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volume
$103,801End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada's early morning forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 6°C on April 2 amid becoming cloudy skies, showers starting late morning, and easterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, anchoring trader consensus at 47% implied probability for 6°C or higher while pricing 5°C at 28.5%. This positioning reflects model guidance after yesterday's anomalous 26°C peak on April 1, as a cool onshore flow and persistent cloud cover—hallmarks of early spring variability—suppress temperatures below seasonal averages near 10°C. Mid-afternoon observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport register just 2°C with light drizzle, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer conditions. Resolution awaits official daily maximum from Pearson data, with hourly updates potentially shifting odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$103,801End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Environment and Climate Change Canada's early morning forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 6°C on April 2 amid becoming cloudy skies, showers starting late morning, and easterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, anchoring trader consensus at 47% implied probability for 6°C or higher while pricing 5°C at 28.5%. This positioning reflects model guidance after yesterday's anomalous 26°C peak on April 1, as a cool onshore flow and persistent cloud cover—hallmarks of early spring variability—suppress temperatures below seasonal averages near 10°C. Mid-afternoon observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport register just 2°C with light drizzle, underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving boundary layer conditions. Resolution awaits official daily maximum from Pearson data, with hourly updates potentially shifting odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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