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Space predictions & odds

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SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

94%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$248K Liq.

36

Ends in 8 months

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

5%

$184K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

90%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$241K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

51%

2.0T+

$819K Vol.

$86.0K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 19 - April 25)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 19 - April 25)

95%

2

$47.0K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

16

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

87%

$5M

$472K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

32

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

36%

1.5T-2.0T

$2M Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

6

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

60%

1.75-2.00T

$130K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

1

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

94%

NASDAQ

$93.8K Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

How many SpaceX launches in April?

How many SpaceX launches in April?

12%

≤11

$91.3K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

8%

$773K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

39

Ends in 8 months

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 26 - May 2)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 26 - May 2)

31%

0

$205 Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 days

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

28%

$215K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

38%

160-179

$297K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

41%

$295K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

3%

$18.3K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

21%

$146K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

82%

SpaceX

$7.6K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

5

Ends in over 1 year

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$105K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

94%

SpaceX

$70.3K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Space.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Space that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX IPO by ___ ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to 1.5T-2.0T. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Space predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.