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Nasa predictions & odds

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Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

21%

$147K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

39%

$295K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

28%

$215K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

68%

1.15–1.19ºC

$248K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

56%

2

$3M Vol.

$127K Liq.

17

Ends in 8 months

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

4%

$18.9K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

86%

$134K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.15–1.19ºC

$48 Vol.

$315 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

95%

3rd hottest

$87.0K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$7.2K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

43%

3rd hottest

$0 Vol.

$250 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$105K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

2%

Successful splash down?

$2M Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

41

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

72%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

115

Ends in 2 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

57%

↑ $3.00

$1.7K Vol.

$90 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

4%

↓ $2.40

$357K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

67%

December 31, 2027

$464K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

32

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

19%

December 31

$30M Vol.

$376K today

$996K Liq.

1,004

Ends in 8 months

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

97%

↓ $375

$2.2K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?

51%

↑ $88

$0 Vol.

$18 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nasa.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Nasa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $38.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nasa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.