SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed July 31 near $108 after a sharp post-IPO decline from June highs above $225, reflecting profit-taking, valuation skepticism, and macro headwinds on high-growth tech names. The closely matched probabilities across $90–$130 ranges signal trader uncertainty ahead of the company’s first earnings release on August 4, which could clarify revenue trajectory, Starlink margins, and launch cadence versus the $1.8 trillion IPO pricing. Recent analyst notes highlight downside risks if results disappoint relative to elevated expectations, while any positive surprises on cash flow or contracts could support a rebound toward the $110–$115 zone. Market-implied odds embed this binary catalyst risk within a volatile post-listing environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Aug 3 at ___?
$85-$90 48%
$95-$100 48%
$100-$105 48%
$105-$110 48%
<$85
44%
$85-$90
48%
$90-$95
47%
$95-$100
48%
$100-$105
48%
$105-$110
48%
$110-$115
48%
$115-$120
42%
$120-$125
48%
$125-$130
48%
>$130
48%
$85-$90 48%
$95-$100 48%
$100-$105 48%
$105-$110 48%
<$85
44%
$85-$90
48%
$90-$95
47%
$95-$100
48%
$100-$105
48%
$105-$110
48%
$110-$115
48%
$115-$120
42%
$120-$125
48%
$125-$130
48%
>$130
48%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed July 31 near $108 after a sharp post-IPO decline from June highs above $225, reflecting profit-taking, valuation skepticism, and macro headwinds on high-growth tech names. The closely matched probabilities across $90–$130 ranges signal trader uncertainty ahead of the company’s first earnings release on August 4, which could clarify revenue trajectory, Starlink margins, and launch cadence versus the $1.8 trillion IPO pricing. Recent analyst notes highlight downside risks if results disappoint relative to elevated expectations, while any positive surprises on cash flow or contracts could support a rebound toward the $110–$115 zone. Market-implied odds embed this binary catalyst risk within a volatile post-listing environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions