Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$60,961 交易量
$60,961 交易量
2026-05-01
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$60,961 交易量
$60,961 交易量
2026-05-01
20°C or below
$3,728 交易量
No
21°C
$1,283 交易量
No
22°C
$4,911 交易量
No
23°C
$3,962 交易量
No
24°C
$4,281 交易量
No
25°C
$12,986 交易量
No
26°C
$6,238 交易量
Yes
27°C
$5,962 交易量
No
28°C
$7,843 交易量
No
29°C
$4,218 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$5,550 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$60,961結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$60,961結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions