**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 11?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 11?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,546 Vol.
$10,546 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,546 Vol.
$10,546 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
22°C or below
$205 Vol.
No
23°C
$633 Vol.
No
24°C
$631 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,595 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,377 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$760 Vol.
No
28°C
$992 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,480 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,336 Vol.
No
31°C
$343 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$195 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,546End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,546End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions