Preliminary reports from the Storm Prediction Center indicate roughly 142–162 tornadoes across the United States in May 2026, well below the 1991–2020 average of approximately 265. This unusually quiet period featured limited severe weather outbreaks in traditional Tornado Alley regions, with weaker storm environments and fewer days meeting supercell-favorable conditions. National Weather Service surveys have since confirmed even lower final tallies near 119, locking in the sub-200 outcome. Market-implied odds reflect this data-driven consensus, though minor upward revisions from late reports or reanalysis could theoretically occur before official closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many Tornadoes in the US in May?
How many Tornadoes in the US in May?
<200 100.0%
200–229 <1%
230–259 <1%
260–289 <1%
$10,246 交易量
$10,246 交易量
2026-06-08
<200
Yes
200–229
No
230–259
No
260–289
No
290–319
No
320–349
No
350–379
No
380–410
No
410+
No
<200 100.0%
200–229 <1%
230–259 <1%
260–289 <1%
$10,246 交易量
$10,246 交易量
2026-06-08
<200
$2,159 交易量
Yes
200–229
$1,003 交易量
No
230–259
$956 交易量
No
260–289
$772 交易量
No
290–319
$1,247 交易量
No
320–349
$1,169 交易量
No
350–379
$762 交易量
No
380–410
$853 交易量
No
410+
$1,324 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Preliminary reports from the Storm Prediction Center indicate roughly 142–162 tornadoes across the United States in May 2026, well below the 1991–2020 average of approximately 265. This unusually quiet period featured limited severe weather outbreaks in traditional Tornado Alley regions, with weaker storm environments and fewer days meeting supercell-favorable conditions. National Weather Service surveys have since confirmed even lower final tallies near 119, locking in the sub-200 outcome. Market-implied odds reflect this data-driven consensus, though minor upward revisions from late reports or reanalysis could theoretically occur before official closure.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
交易量
$10,246结束日期
2026-06-08市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Preliminary reports from the Storm Prediction Center indicate roughly 142–162 tornadoes across the United States in May 2026, well below the 1991–2020 average of approximately 265. This unusually quiet period featured limited severe weather outbreaks in traditional Tornado Alley regions, with weaker storm environments and fewer days meeting supercell-favorable conditions. National Weather Service surveys have since confirmed even lower final tallies near 119, locking in the sub-200 outcome. Market-implied odds reflect this data-driven consensus, though minor upward revisions from late reports or reanalysis could theoretically occur before official closure.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
交易量
$10,246结束日期
2026-06-08市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Preliminary reports from the Storm Prediction Center indicate roughly 142–162 tornadoes across the United States in May 2026, well below the 1991–2020 average of approximately 265. This unusually quiet period featured limited severe weather outbreaks in traditional Tornado Alley regions, with weaker storm environments and fewer days meeting supercell-favorable conditions. National Weather Service surveys have since confirmed even lower final tallies near 119, locking in the sub-200 outcome. Market-implied odds reflect this data-driven consensus, though minor upward revisions from late reports or reanalysis could theoretically occur before official closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题