The strong Democratic tilt of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, continues to underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 3 general election. Longtime Representative Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, yet the March 17 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Daniel K. Biss, who defeated a crowded field that included state Senator Laura Fine and other challengers. On the Republican side, John Elleson secured the nomination after a fragmented primary. With no subsequent polling shifts or major campaign developments in the intervening weeks, the race retains its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Late developments such as unexpected turnout surges or external national political events remain the only realistic paths that could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$16,591 ปริมาณ
$16,591 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$16,591 ปริมาณ
$16,591 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,092 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$6,499 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, continues to underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 3 general election. Longtime Representative Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, yet the March 17 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Daniel K. Biss, who defeated a crowded field that included state Senator Laura Fine and other challengers. On the Republican side, John Elleson secured the nomination after a fragmented primary. With no subsequent polling shifts or major campaign developments in the intervening weeks, the race retains its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Late developments such as unexpected turnout surges or external national political events remain the only realistic paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,591วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, continues to underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 3 general election. Longtime Representative Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, yet the March 17 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Daniel K. Biss, who defeated a crowded field that included state Senator Laura Fine and other challengers. On the Republican side, John Elleson secured the nomination after a fragmented primary. With no subsequent polling shifts or major campaign developments in the intervening weeks, the race retains its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Late developments such as unexpected turnout surges or external national political events remain the only realistic paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,591วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic tilt of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, continues to underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 3 general election. Longtime Representative Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, yet the March 17 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Daniel K. Biss, who defeated a crowded field that included state Senator Laura Fine and other challengers. On the Republican side, John Elleson secured the nomination after a fragmented primary. With no subsequent polling shifts or major campaign developments in the intervening weeks, the race retains its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Late developments such as unexpected turnout surges or external national political events remain the only realistic paths that could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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