Recent Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate that clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light southwesterly winds will allow London’s overnight minimum to settle at 17°C, consistent with the 100% market-implied outcome. Surface observations through the evening show temperatures already tracking this level under stable high pressure, with dew points and radiative cooling rates aligning with climatological expectations for mid-June. The consensus reflects verified station data rather than projections. A late surge in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and lighter winds than modeled might allow a brief dip below 17°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 17?
Lowest temperature in London on June 17?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$14,694 Vol.
$14,694 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$14,694 Vol.
$14,694 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
12°C or below
$477 Vol.
No
13°C
$799 Vol.
No
14°C
$954 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,590 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,400 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,079 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$842 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,404 Vol.
No
20°C
$663 Vol.
No
21°C
$233 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$255 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate that clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light southwesterly winds will allow London’s overnight minimum to settle at 17°C, consistent with the 100% market-implied outcome. Surface observations through the evening show temperatures already tracking this level under stable high pressure, with dew points and radiative cooling rates aligning with climatological expectations for mid-June. The consensus reflects verified station data rather than projections. A late surge in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and lighter winds than modeled might allow a brief dip below 17°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$14,694End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate that clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light southwesterly winds will allow London’s overnight minimum to settle at 17°C, consistent with the 100% market-implied outcome. Surface observations through the evening show temperatures already tracking this level under stable high pressure, with dew points and radiative cooling rates aligning with climatological expectations for mid-June. The consensus reflects verified station data rather than projections. A late surge in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and lighter winds than modeled might allow a brief dip below 17°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,694End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate that clear to partly cloudy skies combined with light southwesterly winds will allow London’s overnight minimum to settle at 17°C, consistent with the 100% market-implied outcome. Surface observations through the evening show temperatures already tracking this level under stable high pressure, with dew points and radiative cooling rates aligning with climatological expectations for mid-June. The consensus reflects verified station data rather than projections. A late surge in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and lighter winds than modeled might allow a brief dip below 17°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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