Traders see the tightest odds clustered on 78–81°F lows for Miami on June 29 because National Weather Service and model guidance converge on overnight minima near the seasonal normal of 77°F, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. High boundary-layer humidity will limit radiational cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, while any increase in cloud cover or sea-breeze mixing could nudge readings a degree or two higher or lower. With resolution hinging on the official Miami International Airport minimum, the narrow spread among leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in the final 12–18 hours of forecast evolution before the calendar day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 29?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$18,991 Vol.
$18,991 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$18,991 Vol.
$18,991 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the tightest odds clustered on 78–81°F lows for Miami on June 29 because National Weather Service and model guidance converge on overnight minima near the seasonal normal of 77°F, modulated by expected partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. High boundary-layer humidity will limit radiational cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, while any increase in cloud cover or sea-breeze mixing could nudge readings a degree or two higher or lower. With resolution hinging on the official Miami International Airport minimum, the narrow spread among leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in the final 12–18 hours of forecast evolution before the calendar day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions