Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on April 26?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 26?
42-43°F 100.0%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$49,066 Vol.
$49,066 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
35°F or below
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
Yes
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54°F or higher
No
42-43°F 100.0%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$49,066 Vol.
$49,066 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
35°F or below
$13,048 Vol.
No
36-37°F
$1,226 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$2,199 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$3,348 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$8,318 Vol.
Yes
44-45°F
$573 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,042 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,695 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$3,862 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$9,307 Vol.
No
54°F or higher
$4,449 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$49,066End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,066End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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